← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid B win | 44% | 35% | 2.22 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.33 | fair |
| Eibar win | 27% | 36% | 3.63 | value: +31% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Madrid B | Eibar |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 687.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1492.50 | 1492.48 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.22 | -8.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.40 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| league points | 40.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.62 |
| state index | -0.46 | -0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |