← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mirandes win | 34% | 35% | 2.83 | fair |
| Las Palmas win | 34% | 35% | 2.87 | fair |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 3.10 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1449.47 | 1522.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.17 | 30.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| league points | 44.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 1.59 |
| state index | -0.24 | 0.48 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |