← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 51% | 54% | 1.93 | value: +3% |
| Draw | 29% | 26% | 3.36 | fair |
| Mirandes win | 20% | 20% | 4.80 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 115.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1442.07 | 1466.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.56 | 31.31 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| league points | 34.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.33 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |