← Segunda División 2013-14 · Sat, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid B win | 43% | 40% | 2.25 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.32 | fair |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 27% | 34% | 3.58 | value: +21% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Madrid B | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 428.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1508.75 | 1565.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.20 | -5.71 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 39.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.96 | 6.96 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.69 |
| state index | -0.14 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |