← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sun, Jun 9, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 52% | 45% | 1.88 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 3.81 | fair |
| Cordoba win | 22% | 28% | 4.37 | value: +24% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 8.00 | 709.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1490.95 | 1470.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.62 | -30.77 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 52.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.32 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.75 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |