← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sun, Jun 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 66% | 51% | 1.47 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 26% | 4.75 | value: +23% |
| Xerez win | 13% | 23% | 7.46 | value: +69% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1067.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1427.82 | 1323.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.69 | 1.51 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 41.00 | 27.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.02 | 0.68 |
| state index | -0.09 | -0.92 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |