← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sun, May 26, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 57% | 51% | 1.72 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 21% | 4.25 | fair |
| Barcelona B win | 20% | 29% | 4.80 | value: +37% |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Barcelona B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 329.00 | 725.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1537.09 | 1523.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.93 | 3.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| league points | 67.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.72 | 1.46 |
| state index | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |