← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sun, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Racing Club de Santander win | 39% | 32% | 2.49 | fair |
| Real Madrid B win | 34% | 42% | 2.86 | value: +19% |
| Draw | 27% | 26% | 3.66 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Racing Club de Santander | Real Madrid B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 72.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1402.05 | 1504.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.60 | 58.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 2.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 2.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 35.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.95 | 1.38 |
| state index | -0.80 | 0.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |