← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sat, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 36% | 38% | 2.68 | fair |
| Las Palmas win | 35% | 34% | 2.76 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.47 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1045.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1409.82 | 1545.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.60 | 5.28 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| league points | 36.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.97 | 1.65 |
| state index | -0.89 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.40 |