← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almeria win | 42% | 48% | 2.35 | value: +12% |
| Mirandes win | 29% | 23% | 3.32 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 3.35 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mirandes | Almeria |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 286.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1437.86 | 1572.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.57 | -31.66 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 35.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.76 |
| state index | -0.95 | -0.16 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |