← Segunda División 2012-13 · Sat, Apr 6, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona B win | 59% | 61% | 1.64 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | 4.05 | fair |
| Mirandes win | 17% | 15% | 5.86 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barcelona B | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 675.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1512.33 | 1434.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.43 | -16.29 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 46.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.44 | 1.06 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.81 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |