← Segunda División 2011-12 · Sun, Jun 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 44% | 47% | 2.10 | fair |
| Villarreal B win | 30% | 27% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Villarreal B | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1457.29 | 1657.32 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.29 | 13.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.55 |
| league points | 52.00 | 88.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 2.15 |
| state index | -0.23 | 0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |