← Segunda División 2011-12 · Wed, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 65% | 68% | 1.44 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 20% | 4.33 | fair |
| Las Palmas win | 13% | 12% | 8.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 381.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1656.21 | 1466.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.17 | -26.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.27 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| league points | 79.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 2.14 | 1.32 |
| state index | 0.85 | -0.50 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |