← Segunda División 2011-12 · Fri, May 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 39% | 40% | 2.40 | fair |
| Alcoyano win | 33% | 31% | 2.90 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Alcoyano | Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1407.82 | 1521.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.58 | -8.75 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| league points | 33.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.63 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |