← Segunda División 2011-12 · Sun, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 55% | 59% | 1.70 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 24% | 3.60 | fair |
| Elche CF win | 19% | 18% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Deportivo La Coruña | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 357.00 | 934.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1659.09 | 1514.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.42 | -43.36 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.45 |
| league points | 72.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 2.18 | 1.52 |
| state index | 1.18 | -0.46 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |