← Segunda División 2011-12 · Sun, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona B win | 63% | 67% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 23% | 19% | 4.33 | fair |
| Murcia win | 14% | 15% | 7.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barcelona B | Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 326.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1556.44 | 1417.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.57 | -42.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.15 |
| league points | 47.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.18 |
| state index | 0.63 | -1.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.00 |