← Segunda División 2011-12 · Sun, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RC Celta de Vigo win | 43% | 43% | 2.20 | fair |
| RC Deportivo La Coruña win | 29% | 30% | 3.25 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | RC Celta de Vigo | RC Deportivo La Coruña |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 654.00 | 350.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1624.67 | 1648.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.08 | 10.34 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| league points | 62.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 2.16 |
| state index | 1.00 | 0.85 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |