← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, Jun 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 51% | 49% | 1.80 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 22% | 3.60 | fair |
| Barcelona B win | 23% | 29% | 4.00 | value: +15% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Barcelona B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 338.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1592.07 | 1560.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.77 | 3.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.49 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| league points | 79.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.93 | 1.66 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |