← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, Jun 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 72% | 72% | 1.29 | fair |
| Draw | 19% | 18% | 5.00 | fair |
| Villarreal B win | 10% | 10% | 9.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Villarreal B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 338.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1621.74 | 1415.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.41 | -13.52 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 80.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.24 |
| state index | 0.51 | -0.78 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |