← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, Jun 4, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Huesca win | 35% | 31% | 2.62 | fair |
| Albacete win | 35% | 34% | 2.62 | fair |
| Draw | 30% | 35% | 3.00 | value: +4% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 338.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1324.12 | 1492.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.03 | 3.04 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.40 |
| league points | 29.00 | 55.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 9.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.34 |
| state index | -1.76 | -0.07 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |