← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid win | 52% | 33% | 1.73 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 32% | 3.25 | value: +4% |
| Huesca win | 21% | 35% | 4.50 | value: +58% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Huesca | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 332.00 | 423.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1481.99 | 1544.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.32 | 14.05 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| league points | 52.00 | 63.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.57 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.44 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |