← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 43% | 52% | 2.20 | value: +15% |
| Draw | 30% | 25% | 3.00 | fair |
| Elche CF win | 27% | 22% | 3.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Elche CF |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 605.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1542.07 | 1556.08 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 28.39 | 0.64 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| league points | 66.00 | 65.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.65 | 1.63 |
| state index | 0.80 | 0.04 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |