← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 29, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona B win | 43% | 69% | 2.10 | value: +46% ⚠ |
| Salamanca win | 30% | 13% | 3.00 | fair |
| Draw | 26% | 17% | 3.50 | fair |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Barcelona B | Salamanca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 697.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1551.56 | 1410.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.23 | 37.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 65.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |