← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 51% | 56% | 1.80 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 23% | 3.50 | fair |
| Xerez win | 21% | 21% | 4.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 325.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1568.57 | 1505.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.61 | 18.62 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| league points | 73.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.87 | 1.46 |
| state index | 0.02 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |