← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 66% | 62% | 1.40 | fair |
| Draw | 21% | 26% | 4.50 | value: +16% |
| Huesca win | 13% | 13% | 7.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 324.00 | 324.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1615.44 | 1489.66 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.90 | 1.07 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.62 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 76.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.95 | 1.33 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |