← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, May 21, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 36% | 42% | 2.63 | value: +11% |
| Tenerife win | 35% | 29% | 2.70 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.30 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1420.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1338.89 | 1409.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.62 | 4.79 |
| form points (last 5) | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| league points | 29.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 0.74 | 0.87 |
| state index | -1.72 | -0.63 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |