← Segunda División 2010-11 · Fri, May 20, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 61% | 64% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 21% | 4.00 | fair |
| Villarreal B win | 15% | 15% | 6.50 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Villarreal B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1533.20 | 1405.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.13 | -29.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 63.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.23 |
| state index | 0.49 | -1.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.80 |