← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cartagena win | 43% | 47% | 2.10 | fair |
| Girona win | 28% | 27% | 3.20 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 348.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1454.26 | 1504.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.44 | 13.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.40 |
| league points | 53.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.42 |
| state index | -0.62 | 0.09 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |