← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cordoba win | 63% | 51% | 1.50 | fair |
| Draw | 24% | 28% | 3.90 | value: +7% |
| Albacete win | 13% | 22% | 7.00 | value: +51% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cordoba | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| elo | 1458.03 | 1349.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.57 | -38.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| league points | 46.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.76 |
| state index | -0.51 | -1.58 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |