← Segunda División 2010-11 · Thu, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salamanca win | 38% | 37% | 2.40 | fair |
| RC Celta de Vigo win | 33% | 34% | 2.75 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 3.10 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salamanca | RC Celta de Vigo |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1402.91 | 1505.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.84 | -36.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| league points | 41.00 | 61.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.65 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.62 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |