← Segunda División 2010-11 · Thu, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 58% | 53% | 1.57 | fair |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 3.40 | fair |
| Huesca win | 15% | 18% | 6.50 | value: +19% |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Huesca |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 315.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1536.80 | 1500.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.37 | 18.68 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 60.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| state index | 0.43 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |