← Segunda División 2010-11 · Thu, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 40% | 43% | 2.25 | fair |
| Xerez win | 31% | 31% | 2.90 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Xerez |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 345.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1491.50 | 1509.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.30 | 6.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| league points | 51.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.46 |
| state index | -0.12 | 0.15 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |