← Segunda División 2010-11 · Wed, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Betis Balompié win | 69% | 73% | 1.30 | fair |
| Draw | 20% | 18% | 4.50 | fair |
| Tenerife win | 10% | 10% | 10.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Betis Balompié | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 314.00 | 1410.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1631.17 | 1401.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 43.25 | -18.73 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.70 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| league points | 73.00 | 31.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 0.84 |
| state index | 1.34 | -0.82 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.20 |