← Segunda División 2010-11 · Wed, May 11, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete win | 36% | 38% | 2.63 | fair |
| Numancia win | 35% | 34% | 2.60 | fair |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | 3.20 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 344.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1358.41 | 1445.38 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.49 | -18.59 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 29.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| season ppg | 0.78 | 1.24 |
| state index | -1.23 | -0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |