← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sun, May 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Granada win | 55% | 64% | 1.70 | value: +9% |
| Draw | 27% | 21% | 3.50 | fair |
| Tenerife win | 18% | 15% | 5.25 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Granada | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 1400.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1513.68 | 1393.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.96 | -29.39 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| league points | 54.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 9.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.54 | 0.80 |
| state index | 0.15 | -1.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.20 |