← Segunda División 2010-11 · Sat, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Model says | Best price | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xerez win | 52% | 57% | 1.80 | fair |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | 3.40 | fair |
| Albacete win | 20% | 18% | 5.00 | fair |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Xerez | Albacete |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1486.82 | 1379.51 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.21 | -13.97 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.57 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| league points | 45.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.85 |
| state index | -0.50 | -0.99 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |