← Segunda División 2009-10 · Sat, Jun 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 57% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Real Union win | 18% | 5.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Union | Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1437.62 | 1581.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.95 | 15.02 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.87 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| league points | 46.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 1.66 |
| state index | -0.33 | 0.45 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |