← Segunda División 2009-10 · Sun, May 30, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 58% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Castellon win | 16% | 5.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 483.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1486.88 | 1419.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.65 | 9.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 53.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 0.87 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.51 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |