← Segunda División 2009-10 · Sat, May 22, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Real Union win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.10 |
| Numancia win | 27% | 3.50 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Real Union | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 475.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1448.74 | 1496.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 34.01 | 5.06 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| league points | 40.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.43 |
| state index | 0.09 | -0.10 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |