← Segunda División 2009-10 · Mon, May 17, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 41% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Girona win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Girona | Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1441.94 | 1566.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.99 | -8.95 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 46.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.64 |
| state index | -0.74 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |