← Segunda División 2009-10 · Sat, May 15, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Murcia win | 45% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Villarreal B win | 26% | 3.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Murcia | Villarreal B |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1438.65 | 1530.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.47 | 0.98 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| league points | 39.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.56 |
| state index | -1.18 | 0.11 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |