← Segunda División 2009-10 · Sun, May 2, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Murcia win | 52% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.30 |
| Castellon win | 20% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Murcia | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1436.03 | 1424.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -44.71 | 19.48 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| league points | 37.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 22.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.09 | 0.88 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |