← Segunda División 2009-10 · Sun, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Recreativo win | 40% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Numancia win | 29% | 3.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Recreativo | Numancia |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 448.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1502.92 | 1491.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.10 | -4.01 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| league points | 45.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 1.45 |
| state index | 0.27 | -0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |