← Segunda División 2008-09 · Sun, May 31, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Castellon win | 25% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1498.16 | 1475.87 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.30 | -2.81 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| league points | 53.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| state index | 0.25 | -0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |