← Segunda División 2008-09 · Sat, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 40% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.00 |
| Tenerife win | 30% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hercules | Tenerife |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | — | 685.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1571.18 | 1586.70 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.20 | 41.18 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 1.33 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| league points | 64.00 | 69.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.78 | 1.92 |
| state index | 0.43 | 1.00 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |