← Segunda División 2008-09 · Sat, May 16, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Elche CF win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.00 |
| Girona win | 24% | 3.75 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Elche CF | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1478.75 | 1426.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.28 | -41.47 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| league points | 47.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.17 |
| state index | -0.28 | -1.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |