← Segunda División 2008-09 · Sat, Apr 25, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 35% | 2.70 |
| Castellon win | 34% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 31% | 2.90 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1478.68 | 1570.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.77 | 10.56 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 2.08 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 2.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| league points | 46.00 | 59.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.79 |
| state index | -0.92 | 0.71 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |