← Segunda División 2008-09 · Sun, Apr 19, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 56% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.20 |
| Girona win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hercules | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1559.78 | 1475.09 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.64 | -13.35 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 2.30 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| league points | 56.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.75 | 1.31 |
| state index | 0.75 | -0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 0.60 |