← Segunda División 2007-08 · Sun, Jun 1, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Numancia win | 53% | 1.72 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.25 |
| Castellon win | 18% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Numancia | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| elo | 1559.51 | 1493.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.88 | -18.49 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| league points | 75.00 | 57.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.46 |
| state index | 0.16 | -0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |