← Segunda División 2006-07 · Sun, Jun 3, 02:00 PM UTC
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hercules win | 53% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.25 |
| Lorca FC win | 19% | 5.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hercules | Lorca FC |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| elo | 1468.12 | 1402.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.67 | -7.63 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| league points | 53.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| season ppg | 1.36 | 0.92 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.86 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |